Published in Journal of Post-Keynesian Economics
This paper explores the contribution of ecosystemic macroprudential regulations to the sustainable development goals in an ecological PK-SFC framework. We first discuss the link between banks and global warming; and present the case for connecting prudential regulation with planetary boundaries. We then report a set of simulations suggesting that in the short run, such ecosystemic prudential regulations could effectively green banks’ balance sheets and credit flows, and curtail brown investment; at the cost, however, of significant short-run output losses. In the longer run, the induced green transition sets the economy on a sustainable pathway, decreases inflationary pressures, and maintains real GDP at the baseline level, with favorable distributional effects for wage-earners. These results highlight the importance of a paradigm shift in prudential regulation in the fight against climate change.
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La crise climatique est source de risques financiers désormais reconnus comme porteurs d’incertitudes multiples, et susceptibles de détériorer l’équilibre du système comme celui de ses acteurs. Ce séminaire sera l’occasion d’aborder plusieurs questions stratégiques soulevées par les risques climatiques tant pour les banques que pour les autorités de tutelle.
