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Les Futurs en transition : les scénarios

L’ADEME a souhaité soumettre au débat quatre chemins “types” cohérents qui présentent de manière volontairement contrastée des options économiques, techniques et de société pour atteindre la neutralité carbone en 2050. Ce travail a été conduit de 2019 à 2021 et n'est pas remis en cause par les conflits actuels majeurs, bien au contraire. 

Extending the limits of the abatement cost

The paper examines the relevant cost benefit framework for state agencies investigating the potential of local projects to mitigate climate change. We propose a new metric that incorporates into the analytical framework the dynamic interactions between the project and its continuation.

Quantifying GHG emissions enabled by capital and labor: Economic and gender inequalities in France

Antonin PottierMacro-economical and societal challengesPublicationsPublicationsResearch areaResearch FellowsComments Off on Quantifying GHG emissions enabled by capital and labor: Economic and gender inequalities in France

Many studies have investigated the carbon footprint of households. Here we open a new field by discussing the emissions that individuals enable by providing labor and capital to companies, using the framework of income-based (downstream) responsibility. Our results show that inequalities in emissions do not strongly interact with economic inequality. Yet they are gendered because women work disproportionately in low-carbon intensive industries such as healthcare. As a result, women contribute less to GHG emissions than their wage share would seem to indicate.

Over-allocation profits and competition issues in the steel industry

Maria Eugenia SaninPublicationsPublicationsResearch areaResearch FellowsSectoral PoliciesComments Off on Over-allocation profits and competition issues in the steel industry

Sectors that are considered to be subject to international competition under the European Emission Trading Scheme (EU-ETS) still benefit from free allocation of European Allowances (EUAs). Herein we study one of those beneficiaries: the crude steel industry. Our findings suggest the EU-ETS has failed to provide incentives for decarbonization in this sector.

There’s no price signal !

We address the long-standing challenge of adding optimal exploration to the classic Hotelling model of a non-renewable resource. We prove that a frontier of critical levels of proven reserves exists, above which exploration ceases, and below which it proceeds at infinite speed.

Attractiveness of Clean Energy Stocks in Europe: The importance of shocks in oil and gas prices

Maria Eugenia SaninPublicationsResearch areaResearch FellowsSectoral PoliciesWorking papersComments Off on Attractiveness of Clean Energy Stocks in Europe: The importance of shocks in oil and gas prices

This article identifies supply and demand shocks in the oil and gas market using monthly data (from January 2008 to December 2021) and explores their impact on clean energy stock returns in Europe. Our results show that a negative gas supply shock positively affects clean energy stocks, while a negative shock in global oil supply does not have a significant effect on clean energy stocks throughout the period studied. 

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    • Séminaire sur la modélisation macroéconomique SFC environnementale

      30 September 2025
      14:00 PM - 17:00 pm

      Séminaire en présence d'Adam George (SOAS, University of London). Adam George présente un modèle macroéconomique SFC environnemental britannique intégrant émissions de CO2 et investissements verts de tous les agents économiques. Le modèle trimestriel analyse l'impact des politiques énergétiques selon le rapport capital vert/capital conventionnel. Quatre scénarios fiscaux verts sont testés (2022-2035) : taxe carbone, investissement...

    • Bioénergie : allocation des sols et organisation des filières.

      9 October 2025
      10 October 2025
      09:00 - 18:00

      Le laboratoire GAEL (Grenoble Applied Economics Laboratory) et la Chaire Energie et Prospérité organisent un workshop sur l’économie de la bioénergie les jeudi 9 et vendredi 10 octobre 2025 sur le campus universitaire de Grenoble.