The effects of oil shocks in inflation and growth have been widely discussed in the literature, however few have focused on the impact of oil price increases on unemployment. In order to shed some light on this problem, this paper develops a medium scale Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model (dsge) that allows for oil utilization in production and consumption as in Acurio-Vasconez (2015); unemployment as in Mortensen & Pissarides (1994); and staggered nominal wage contracting as in Gertler & Trigari (2009). It then analyses the effects of oil price increases on the economy. The model recovers most of the well-known stylized facts observed after the oil shock in the 2000s’. A sensitivity analysis shows that the reduction of the bargaining power of households to negotiate wage contracts reduces the impact of an oil shock in unemployment, without affecting negatively gdp. However, it also shows that the reduction of bargaining power, together with wage flexibility strongly reduces the increase in unemployment after an oil shock, but causes a decrease in real wages, which reduces household income and affects GDP.
Le séminaire prendra appui sur l’article Public Banks and the Ecological Transition: A Euro Proposal rédigé par Robert Guttmann, Dominique Plihon, Sandra Rigot
PRÉSENTATION Après plusieurs années de développement rapide de la réglementation européenne en matière de finance durable, l’Union européenne semble aujourd’hui engagée dans un changement...
