This study investigates the dynamic relationship between climate extreme events, conflicts, and internal displacement in Burkina Faso. Using monthly data on floods, storms, violent and non-violent conflicts, and demonstrations from 2018 to 2022, the analysis shows that, unlike storms,floods have affected all regions of the country. Demonstrations are less frequent, while violent and non-violent conflicts are more common in the Sahel and Eastern regions and spread to other areas.
We applied the dynamic modeling approach to model and identify both short and long run relationships. The results reveal that, in the short run, violent events, demonstrations, and storms are associated with increased internal displacement. The speed of adjustment (21.2%) indicates a rapid return to equilibrium. In the long run, violent events and storms are positively associated with internal displacement, while floods show no significant effect. This study highlights the need for effective conflict management policies and climate measures to mitigate the effects of extreme events in Burkina Faso.
Keywords: climate extreme events; conflicts; internal displacement; Internal Migration; Burkina
Faso.
