Article published in Environmental Modeling & Assessment, volume 27
One of the ways for achieving the goals set by the Paris Agreement is to set a price on greenhouse gas emissions. However, a rapid increase in this price may have a financial impact and increase the credit risk of companies. Using medium (2024) and long-term (2060) scenarios, this study analyzes the credit risk sensitivity of 763 international companies. The Energy, Utilities, and Materials sectors are the most affected, with a higher and more heterogeneous risk for the Utilities. However, the risk only becomes significant in the long term. A strengthening of greenhouse gas emission pricing mechanisms therefore seems achievable in the medium term without compromising financial stability.
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La crise climatique est source de risques financiers désormais reconnus comme porteurs d’incertitudes multiples, et susceptibles de détériorer l’équilibre du système comme celui de ses acteurs. Ce séminaire sera l’occasion d’aborder plusieurs questions stratégiques soulevées par les risques climatiques tant pour les banques que pour les autorités de tutelle.
