We study climate-related central bank communication using a novel dataset containing 35,487 speeches delivered by 131 central banks from 1986 to 2023. We employ natural language processing techniques to identify and trace the evolution of key climate-related narratives centred around (i) green finance, and (ii) climate-related financial risks. We find that central bank public communication strategies are primarily driven by underlying institutional factors, rather than exposure to climate-related risks. We then study the impact of climate-related communication on financial market dynamics through both a portfolio and a firm-level analysis. We find that equity returns of « green » firms outperform those of « dirty » firms when central banks engage more frequently and intensely with climate-related topics.
Keywords: Central banking; Climate change; Low-carbon transition; Central bank communication; Climate-related risks; Green finance; Text analysis; Topic modelling; Asset pricing.
JEL codes: C38, E44, E58, Q54, Z13.
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La crise climatique est source de risques financiers désormais reconnus comme porteurs d’incertitudes multiples, et susceptibles de détériorer l’équilibre du système comme celui de ses acteurs. Ce séminaire sera l’occasion d’aborder plusieurs questions stratégiques soulevées par les risques climatiques tant pour les banques que pour les autorités de tutelle.
