The concurrent surge in fuel, food, and fertilizer prices underscores the broad vulnerability of agrifood system in an interconnected global economy, where supply chain disruptions can propagate rapidly. It also highlights the urgent need for a deeper understanding of the short-and long-term drivers of the price of the world’s most widely used nitrogen fertilizer: urea. To address this knowledge gap, our study employs a Vector Error Correction Model using global monthly data from 1985 to 2023.
